Without careful planning someone
investing $10,000 in 2001 could be making a mistake that costs them hundreds of thousands
of dollars in years to come. Combined with the effects of inflation, underperforming
assets can erode the purchasing power of retirees, destroy college investment strategies,
and eliminate hopes for early retirements.
Underperforming assets can be defined as those that, after inflation and taxes, provide
very small or non-existent yields. In today's market, many short-term fixed income
securities such as Treasury Bills and CDs fall into this category.
To avoid the loss of purchasing power, investments for the long term must provide capital
growth, while at the same time beating inflation and taxation. When devising a
strategy that protects purchasing power, it's extremely important to note that over the
long run, even small differences in various investment yields can have a significant
financial impact. In fact, underperforming investments which are not yielding maximum
return for the level of risk involved can cost even the moderate investor tens of
thousands of dollars over the long haul.
For example, an investor who put $10,000 in 6-month CDs in 1980 saw an average annual
yield of 8.09% by the end of 1996. At the end of 1996, that nest egg would have been
worth about $37,245. If the same investment had been made in companies making up the
Standard and Poor's 500, the return would have been 16.24%, or $129,201, almost 3.5 times
more than the return on the CD investment.
Over the past 30 years, the Standard and Poor's 500 index has usually offered better
returns than CDs and other fixed-income securities. Of course, to get that return,
investors had to take more risk. Because of the risk involved, many investors have
traditionally believed that preserving capital should be their main objective as they
reach retirement. As a result, they arrange for very conservative investments.
This is a sound strategy, to a certain degree, but a preoccupation with preserving
capital may lead investors to lose sight of a more important goal. Instead of
preserving capital, preserving spending power should be paramount. Let me put it this way:
A $500,000 retirement account earning 8% would yield a comfortable $40,000 a year. But
assuming a modest inflation rate of 4.5%, the income would buy only $27,000 worth of goods
in 10 years, $17,000 in 20 years and only $11,000 in 30 years. And with today's increased
longevity, it's entirely possible to have a 30-year period of retirement.
Certain short-term, fixed income instruments such as CDs, T-bills, money markets, and
passbook savings accounts, for instance, generally are considered risk-free investments
because they offer a guaranteed fixed rate of return. But from the examples I've listed,
it is clear that there can be a risk in these investments. Because of the ravages of taxes
and inflation, one risk is that, slowly but steadily, purchasing power will disappear.
Anyone who lived during the 1950's and 1960's understands the threat to purchasing power
that inflation represents. During that time, Americans could purchase new automobiles
in the $2,500 range, monthly electric bills were under $10, and annual auto insurance
premiums were under $100. Those of you who don't go back that far only need to look
at what items cost in 1970. Postage stamps were 6 cents, the Wall Street Journal was
15 cents, a Cadillac Sedan De Ville was $5,700, and a Super Bowl Ticket was
$12. Think about what you have to pay for these items today. An annual average
inflation rate of only 5% causes prices to almost triple every 20 years.
One of the best ways to outpace inflation is to have a portion of your assets invested in
high-quality stocks. Many people believe that investing in stocks may be too risky
when in fact it may be just the opposite. The real risk is the risk that you will outlive
your money. The only investment that has consistently outpaced inflation over time is
stocks. As long as you are properly diversified and you stick with high-quality
investments you can ride out stock market cycles, and you increase your chances to outpace
inflation.
Susan Posey is an Investment Consultant
with IJL Wachovia in Columbus, Georgia. IJL Wachovia, a division of Wachovia
Securities, Inc., is one of the nation's largest regional full service brokerage firms,
offering a full range of investment services to investors.